Methods

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HFACT research comprises the analysis of existing data, modelling, primary data collection and policy evaluation, shared across four cross-cutting methodological areas. These methods areas are:

Policy Impact Evaluation

Lead by Julia Hatamyar

  • Requires counterfactural analysis, e.g. outcomes in a world with the policy v. outcomes in the world without the policy
  • Innovative quantitative methods to describe trends and associations
    • Data visualization (heatmaps)
    • Concentration indices, decomposition analyses
    • Characterizing importance of predictors for health outcomes
  • (Causal) policy impact evaluations using aggregate data
    • Dynamic panel data approaches
    • Differences-in-differences
    • Synthetic controls
  • (Causal) impact evaluation methods with micro data
    • Matching methods to create comparison group
    • Instrumental variables and regression discontinuity designs
    • Methods to estimate heterogenous policy effects
    • Quantile regressions
    • Causal machine learning

Equity Analysis

Lead by Susan Griffin
  • Photo of Dr Susan Griffin, University of YorkMeasuring the distribution of health financing
  • Estimating the marginal change in health inequalities from a marginal change in expenditure on health
  • Estimating the impact of policy on health inequalities, incorporating these equity impacts in economic evaluation to inform policy choice
  • Spending to improve population health
    • Increased interest and research in estimating the marginal productivity of health expenditure
    • Policy objectives to improve population health often involves both overall increase in population health and reduction in health inequalities
  • Economic evaluation of policies can inform the prioritization of investments related to health financing
  • Equity informative economic evaluation extends the analysis to estimate the distribution of policy costs and benefits
  • Potential applications
    • Health benefit package design to reflect equity objective
    • Distributional impact of raising health funds through taxation on unhealthy commodities and removal of subsidies
    • Value of investing to level up access and utilisation in left behind groups
  • Key features
    • Outcomes of relevance to the decision-makers involved, based on their objectives and responsibilities
    • Compare intervention against relevant alternative courses of action
    • Capture outcomes and opportunity costs
    • Consideration of decision uncertainty – is more evidence needed?
  • What can economic evaluation and decision analysis contribute?
    • When evaluating health care policies, these approaches can help extend analyses to establish whether a policy represents value for money by considering impacts on:
      • the policy relevant outcomes of interest,
      • the costs and associated opportunity costs,
      • the magnitude and consequences of uncertainty
    • Further method development is necessary but a multi-disciplinary approach bringing together health economics and adjacent fields will improve the evaluation of policies

Political economy analysis

Lead by Sumit Mazumdar
  • Political agents and processes are central to public policy but tend to remain as an ‘add-on’ for research.
  • Political Economy Analysis (PEA) can significantly contribute to explain the ‘whys’ and ‘hows’ of policy impacts and their determinants
    • Tool kit for PEA includes:
      • Role/impacts of power,
      • Interests, capacities and incentives across key groups
      • Account for different political and institutional systems:
        • Political parties & leadership
        • Bureaucracy & governance
        • Social, ethnic and ideological affiliations
    • Useful for retrospective analysis of past policies and likely roadmap for current and future policies